Mitt Romney is the only Republican candidate who has been consistently leading in the polls. Many of the other candidates have had a brief spike in ratings, before quickly dropping as another candidate again takes the spotlight for a short while.
Mitt Romney's consistent lead, however, is now being challenged by Newt Gingrich, who has recently taken the spotlight, and is gaining momentum. Newt Gingrich has the potential to quickly fall in ratings just like the other candidates have. However, Newt has lasted much longer than the other candidates.
One reason that Romney might not win is his religious affiliation as a Mormon. Republicans, especially in the South, are generally evangelical Christians, and religion is a deciding factor for them. If Romney was a Protestant Christian, then there would be no problem.
Another downside for Romney is his tendency to flip-flop on his issues and views. Newt Gingrich, his chief rival, beliefs that illegal immigrants who have lived in the USA for a long time and have been beneficial to society, should have the option to become citizens through naturalization. Romney disagrees strongly, favoring an immediate expulsion of all illegal aliens. The flip-flop issue is that Romney had an identical viewpoint to that of Newt Gingrich 4 years ago on illegal immigrants. Romney had wanted them to become naturalized. This is just one example of Romney changing his views to achieve what many condemn as "flip-flopping his belief to gain more votes".
An upside for Romney is his consistent support base. The same people who supported him several years ago still support him, and he has a steady flow of cash to support his campaign.
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